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New Estimates of Nuclear Stranding

Fortnightly Magazine - October 1 1996

R.J. Rudden Associates, Inc. (RJRA) estimates U.S. nuclear plant stranded costs at $65.5 billion ($1994) if electric industry restructuring is fully implemented in 1997.

The firm's analysis relied on historic cost and performance data for each facility, and on RJRA projections of regional competitive prices for capacity and energy. RJRA said a slower restructuring would reduce the investment at risk to between $46.3 billion (year 2000) and $23.2 billion (year 2010).

The greatest impacts would be concentrated in four of the nine North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC) regions (em ECAR, ERCOT, MAAC, and WSCC. Each has an aggregate investment of about $10 billion at risk.

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