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Living on the Edge

Putting natural-gas price volatility into hurricane-season perspective.

Fortnightly Magazine - August 2006

that 1.4 Bcf/d (or 14 percent of daily production) of natural gas still remained shut-in as a result of hurricane-related damage. However, on this same day, the Henry Hub reported trading natural gas in the $6.50/MMBtu area due to mild weather.

Now a new hurricane season is upon us. With a little luck from Mother Nature, this summer won’t be as traumatic for energy commodity markets.

 

Forecast Prices at Henry Hub ($/MMBTU):

Sep - 06 8.61
Oct - 06 8.78
Nov - 06 9.96
Dec - 06 11.06
Jan - 07 11.74
Feb - 07 11.70
Mar - 07 11.49
Apr - 07 9.50
May - 07 9.28
Jun - 07 9.32
Jul - 07 9.38
Aug - 07 9.41
Sep - 07 9.43
Oct - 07 9.48
Nov - 07 10.09
Dec - 07 10.68
Jan - 08 11.10
Feb - 08 11.07
Mar - 08 10.80
Apr - 08 8.55

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